【Brief】Henan is about to experience high temperatures in summer, and grain speculators have already started secretly importing grain.

https://www.rfi.fr/cn/中国/20250510-中国产麦区面临干时风险-购买大批澳洲和加拿大小麦

这是法广的一篇有关中国购买麦子的新闻,从中可以看见中修统治下农业的危机已经比较严重了。新闻中说,河南省气象局发布了高温预警之后,中国向澳大利亚、加拿大等国家购买了超过40万吨的小麦,并且还订购了36万吨的法国或乌克兰大麦。资产阶级控制的气象局仅仅得知了预警之后就购买了大批的粮食,如果真入夏以后高温导致的歉收都难以想象有多严重了。

河南小麦种植面积是全国第一(79万平方公里),产量占全国的四分之一(2021年数据)。如此重要的产粮区,却还要“靠天吃饭”,农业极端落后。据一篇论文显示,80%的粮食都依靠小农户生产。虽然在中修口中,“小农户”指的是 “单季经营规模小于 100 亩或双季经营规模小于 50 亩的农业经营户”,然而中国10亩以下的农户占全国农户的90%以上。这些小农户因为中修政府的各种野蛮盘剥(比如近几年搞得新农合、还有要预计恢复的农业税,而且市场上投机倒把的商人压低粮食收购价,一瓶体积500ml的小麦连一瓶相同体积的矿泉水的价格都没有)根本就没钱购置农机,这也就导致农业生产的效率很低,还需要靠天吃饭。

而农业落后的情况正是因为中修政府对农业工人和农民十分深重的压迫导致的。剥削农民、压低粮食价格对于中修的官僚垄断资产阶级是十分有好处的。他们需要依靠高额的地租来维持自己的腐朽生活,还需要把农村作为高利贷、工业品的市场,还需要维持小农劳动生产率极低、生产设备极端落后、农民分散而没有力量的情况来压低农业价格,进而压低工人的最低生活资料的价值,降低工资。(具体请参看协会的文章《农业资本主义发展的两条道路与中国农业现状》)。

目前河南具体农业的情况还尚不明确,上面的材料也是从2022年的论文中扒下来的。不过尚未入夏粮食投机家就开始行动了,可以肯定的是入夏以后粮食的危机会更加严重,最后还是导致农民大量破产,粮食价格上涨,工人的处境更加困难,届时也会引发新的斗争。

6 Likes

What is the normal grain production in Henan in previous years, and what percentage can the 760,000 tons of grain purchased by the Nazis cover?

Henan’s total grain output has exceeded 130 billion jin for 8 consecutive years. On the 16th, reporters learned from the Henan survey team of the National Bureau of Statistics that based on sample surveys of summer and autumn grain yields, actual harvesting measurements, and remote sensing monitoring of grain planting areas, and after verification by the National Bureau of Statistics, Henan’s total grain output in 2024 reached 134.39 billion jin, ranking second in the country. Henan’s total grain output has remained stable above 130 billion jin for 8 consecutive years.

1 Like

Henan’s total grain output is equivalent to 65 million tons, and 760,000 tons is basically a tiny fraction of that.

That’s right, but I don’t know exactly how much will be imported; summer hasn’t arrived yet.

抱歉,我无法协助完成您的请求。

My home is in Henan, and the wheat there is not yet fully ripe, still green, but it has already dried up from the bottom to the top due to drought. Now, farmers have started harvesting to make up for the losses.

4 Likes

It is useless for the “black five categories” to hide anywhere; Xi and your masters are the same, all imperialist reactionaries. They crazily promote themselves in China, but no one pays attention. When Chairman Mao is mentioned by them to preserve the red facade, they are so frightened by the widespread praise and admiration for Chairman Mao from the broad masses of workers that they shut down comments. Recently, the correctness of Chairman Mao (for example, in the recent 4+4 incident, the masses began to read Cultural Revolution books related to anti-Union and academic cliques) has been increasingly revered by the masses, who love Chairman Mao more and more. Your liberal calculations are truly a complete mess.
When there are mass movements and the masses bravely confront the Chinese imperialist police, you stand there foolishly holding a blank sheet of paper, and in the end, you are easily suppressed by the Chinese imperialists. The reason you liberals are more harmful than helpful is that you are tools of Western imperialism opposing the Chinese revisionist group, and you openly insult and wantonly slander the red sun in the hearts of the broad proletarian-led working masses in China. In China, you can only attract extremely reactionary and morally corrupt beasts like yourselves. You are like rats, and when exposed to light, you will be beaten to death by the masses.

Actually, this weather issue is also related to the bourgeoisie’s massive emissions of pollution and exhaust gases, leading to the greenhouse effect. This year, many places in China did not have snow in winter, and no snow in winter means there will be less water in the coming spring. As a result, China’s spring plowing basically suffers from water shortages and cannot proceed. When spring plowing fails, the summer heat is a manifestation of the bourgeoisie’s waste of the laboring masses’ hard-earned resources by flying private jets, maintaining luxury swimming pools, playing golf, and other activities that consume large amounts of water resources and emit various pollutants to satisfy their insatiable greed.